Champion jockeys at odds over likely Cup upset

The Melbourne Cup is here, and once-a-year punters are scrambling for the form guide and dusting off their betting accounts hoping to snag some cash on the great race.

And while it’s fun to try your hand at picking a winner all on your own, it never hurts to get some advice from the people with their finger on the pulse.

Wide World of Sports has gathered Cup tips from winning jockeys and astute analysts of the racing game.

READ MORE: Melbourne Cup 2022 Race Day Guide

READ MORE: Simon O’Donnell’s Melbourne Cup form guide and tips

READ MORE: Melbourne Cup 2022 office sweep

Here’s what they have to say.

JAMES McDONALD via racenet

James McDonald is the in-form jockey in Australia currently, and won last year’s Melbourne Cup aboard Verry Elleegant. His 2022 ride – Durston – was withdrawn from the Cup field before the barrier draw.

Winner: Deauville Legend

“The favorite Deauville Legend is the horse to beat, and I expect Gold Trip to run well but I’d like to see Montefilia and Duais perform too. I reckon the first half of the race is probably going to be more important than the second 1600m for Deauville Legend. He’s drawn a beautiful barrier in nine and the object for me would be to get him relaxed and have a smooth economical run in the first half of the race. I don’t care where I am in the run because I know if I get him conserving energy he’s the best horse in the race and he’ll show that in the second half of the race. My aim is to give my mount an uninterrupted run from the 600m, so I want to know what horses are where to assist me giving my horse clear air.”

GLEN BOSS via labrokes

Glen Boss is a champion jockey who famously steered Makybe Diva to three consecutive Melbourne Cup wins from 2003-05.

Winner: Montefilia

“I think I’ve found the winner – Montefilia. Her run in the Caulfield Cup was outstanding. Back in the ruck in a slowly-run race, never got clear air until about 150m from home and absolutely hit the line with a red light on her head. Jason Collett will give this great mare a wind-up and I think she will be very hard to beat.”

READ MORE: Melbourne Cup 2022 scratches

COREY BROWN via foxsports.com.au

Corey Brown is a former champion jockey who won the Melbourne Cup in 2009 and in 2017.

1st Montefilia, 2nd Deauville Legend, 3rd Realm Of Flowers, 4th Vow And Declare

“She’s peaking at the right time, hit the line beautifully in the Caulfield Cup, she’s raced great all prep, and though she hasn’t won past 2400m, I think she’ll love the 3200m. Last prep, when Jason (Collett) was riding her, she looked more of a middle distance horse, but this time she’s been set for this race, and just looking at how she’s going about it in her races – settling really nicely, and building up and displaying good acceleration in the straight like she did in the Caulfield Cup – she looks really good. Watching the replays, her whole racing style and her mannerisms give me every indication she’ll stay all day. Drawn a perfect gate and Jason’s a very capable rider.”

MICHELLE PAYNE via The Age

Michelle Payne is the only female jockey to have won the Melbourne Cup, doing so in 2015 aboard Prince Of Penzance. She is now an analyst on television and trains horses.

1st Realm Of Flowers, 2nd Without A Fight, 3rd Knights Order, 4th Lunar Flare

“The 50kg for Realm Of Flowers just looks so good. I love this mare. She stays, she handles wet conditions and she’s going really well. Ticks the most boxes.”

READ MORE: Nic Ashman’s Melbourne Cup analysis and race tips

FRANCESCA CUMANI via The Australian

Francesca Cumani is a television presenter and racing analyst, the daughter of legendary Italian horse trainer Luca Cumani and sister to trainer Matt Cumani.

1st Montefilia, 2nd Without A Fight, 3rd Deauville Legend, Roughie: Lunar Flare

“Probability says that the Cup will stay at home (in Australia) as the home team has 22 representatives. The best chance among them has to be Montefilia. She is a four-time winner at the highest level and finished like a train when a luckless fourth in the Caulfield Cup.”

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